Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓22% · fair 4.45
Barra vs Corinthians preview and prediction
The match
Corinthians travel to Estádio da Ressacada in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 22 April (01:30 WAT) to face Barra.
Form guide
Barra's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Maranhão 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Corinthians's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Vitoria 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.5 for Barra and 1.2 for Corinthians. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barra 20%, draw 20%, Corinthians 60%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barra 0–1 Corinthians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barra20%fair 4.97 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.35
Corinthians60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
1.68Expected goals
0.47Barra xG
1.20Corinthians xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–019%
0–214%
1–111%
1–09%
1–26%
From our goals model: Barra 0.5 – 1.2 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✓
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
22%
4.45
–
Form
Barra – last 3
WLD
12 Apr
vs Maranhão
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Camboriú
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
DWWLLD
19 Apr
@ Vitoria
0–0
D
16 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Platense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Internacional
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and Corinthians.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barra vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Barra have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Corinthians 60%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs Corinthians?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Barra 0–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Barra vs Corinthians?
Barra vs Corinthians (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paysandu0
Vasco DA Gama2
Goias2
Cruzeiro2
Bahia1
Remo3
Santos0
Coritiba0