Value bet: Goias to win @ 3.35 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗38% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Goias vs Cruzeiro preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro travel to Estádio da Serrinha in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 22 April (23:00 WAT) to face Goias.
Form guide
Goias's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Criciuma 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruzeiro's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Gremio 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goias arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Goias and 1.3 for Cruzeiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Goias 36%, draw 25%, Cruzeiro 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Goias to win at 3.35 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Goias 1–1 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goias36%fair 2.76 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.05
Cruzeiro38%fair 2.61 · @2.26
2.64Expected goals
1.30Goias xG
1.34Cruzeiro xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Goias 1.3 – 1.3 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✗
38%
2.61
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.99
–
Form
Goias – last 5
WDWDW
7 Apr
vs Criciuma
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Londrina
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Maringá
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Fluminense PI
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Cruzeiro – last 6
WLWWLD
19 Apr
vs Gremio
2–0
W
15 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Vitoria
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Cruzeiro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Goias vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Goias have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cruzeiro 38%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Cruzeiro?
Goias vs Cruzeiro (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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