Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗39% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.71
Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Paranaense travel to Estádio Antônio Accioly in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 14 May (23:00 WAT) to face Atletico Goianiense.
Form guide
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Gama 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Paranaense's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Vasco DA Gama 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Atletico Goianiense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Atletico Goianiense and 0.7 for Atletico Paranaense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Atletico Goianiense to win at 3.20 – 39% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Atletico Paranaense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Goianiense39%fair 2.55 · @3.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Atletico Paranaense36%fair 2.76 · @2.28
1.46Expected goals
0.76Atletico Goianiense xG
0.71Atletico Paranaense xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–023%
1–018%
0–116%
1–112%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 0.8 – 0.7 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Paranaense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?
Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Antônio Accioly.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.