Wednesday, 11 November 2026 12 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Lourival Baptista

Confiança

LLDLW
0–3
FT

Gremio

LWDDW

Confiança vs Gremio prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGremio to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceGremio or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.02

Confiança vs Gremio preview and prediction

The match

Gremio travel to Estádio Lourival Baptista in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 14 May (23:00 WAT) to face Confiança.

Form guide

Confiança's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Ituano 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Gremio's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Gremio 2–0 Confiança.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Confiança and 1.6 for Gremio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Confiança 0–1 Gremio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Confiança11%fair 9.17 · @5.40
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.70
Gremio64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
2.07Expected goals
0.49Confiança xG
1.58Gremio xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–120%
0–216%
0–013%
1–110%
0–38%
1–28%

From our goals model: Confiança 0.5 – 1.6 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGremio to win ✓64%1.561.62
Double chanceGremio or draw ✓89%1.121.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.551.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gremio / FT Gremio ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20%5.02–

Form

Confiança – last 6

LLDLWW
10 May@ Ituano0–1L
7 Mayvs Fortaleza EC1–2L
30 Aprvs Vitoria2–2D
21 Apr@ Gremio0–2L
9 Apr@ AO Itabaiana1–0W
29 Marvs Fluminense PI2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gremio – last 6

LWDDWL
10 Mayvs Flamengo0–1L
5 May@ Deportivo Riestra3–0W
3 May@ Atletico Paranaense0–0D
30 Apr@ Palestino0–0D
21 Aprvs Confiança2–0W
19 Apr@ Cruzeiro0–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Gremio v Confiança2–0
Confiança vs Gremio head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Mirassol2 RB Bragantino1 138%2.32X25%3.10238%3.15 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Remo2 Bahia1 146%2.82X21%3.50233%2.32 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Jacuipense1 Palmeiras4 117%11.50X15%5.80267%1.23 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
– Ceara2 Atletico-MG1 Pens 2–4 133%2.82X26%3.00241%2.60 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Chapecoense-sc2 Botafogo0 121%3.30X22%3.20256%2.20 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
– Atletico Goianiense0 Atletico Paranaense0 Pens 1–3 139%3.20X25%3.10236%2.28 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Corinthians1 Barra0 169%1.22X20%5.60211%14.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Confiança vs Gremio?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Confiança vs Gremio?

On our numbers Confiança have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gremio 64%.

How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Gremio?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Gremio?

Our predicted score is Confiança 0–1 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Confiança vs Gremio?

Confiança vs Gremio (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Lourival Baptista.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.