Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Botafogo to win @ 2.20 – our chance 56% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo to win ✗56% · @2.20
Double chanceBotafogo or draw ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.62
Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Chapecoense-sc take on Botafogo on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Arena Condá.
Form guide
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Operario-PR 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Botafogo's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Racing Club 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Botafogo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Botafogo 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.5 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.2 for Botafogo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Value angle: Botafogo to win at 2.20 – 56% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Botafogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chapecoense-sc21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Botafogo56%fair 1.77 · @2.20
1.68Expected goals
0.52Chapecoense-sc xG
1.16Botafogo xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–019%
0–213%
1–111%
1–010%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 0.5 – 1.2 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botafogo 56%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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