Thursday, 12 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo

Ceara

LWLWW
2–1
–Pens 2–4

Atletico-MG

DWLWW

Ceara vs Atletico-MG prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Atletico-MG to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultAtletico-MG to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.47

Ceara vs Atletico-MG preview and prediction

The match

The Copa Do Brasil sees Ceara take on Atletico-MG on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.

Form guide

Ceara's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Vitoria 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Atletico-MG's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Juventud 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Atletico-MG 2–1 Ceara.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Ceara and 1.2 for Atletico-MG. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ceara 1–1 Atletico-MG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ceara33%fair 3.01 · @2.82
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Atletico-MG41%fair 2.43 · @2.60
2.26Expected goals
1.05Ceara xG
1.21Atletico-MG xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Ceara 1.1 – 1.2 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico-MG to win ✗41%2.432.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico-MG / FT Atletico-MG ✗23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.47–

Form

Ceara – last 6

LWLWWW
7 May@ Vitoria0–1L
30 Apr@ Maranhão3–1W
23 Apr@ Atletico-MG1–2L
15 Aprvs Jacuipense4–1W
12 Aprvs Nautico Recife1–0W
9 Aprvs Fortaleza EC2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico-MG – last 6

DWLWWL
5 May@ Juventud2–2D
3 May@ Cruzeiro3–1W
30 Apr@ Cienciano0–1L
23 Aprvs Ceara2–1W
16 Aprvs Juventud2–1W
12 Apr@ Santos0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026Atletico-MG v Ceara2–1
Ceara vs Atletico-MG head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Mirassol2 RB Bragantino1 138%2.32X25%3.10238%3.15 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Remo2 Bahia1 146%2.82X21%3.50233%2.32 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Jacuipense1 Palmeiras4 117%11.50X15%5.80267%1.23 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Chapecoense-sc2 Botafogo0 121%3.30X22%3.20256%2.20 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Confiança0 Gremio3 111%5.40X25%3.70264%1.62 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓
– Atletico Goianiense0 Atletico Paranaense0 Pens 1–3 139%3.20X25%3.10236%2.28 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Corinthians1 Barra0 169%1.22X20%5.60211%14.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs Atletico-MG?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ceara vs Atletico-MG?

On our numbers Ceara have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico-MG 41%.

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Atletico-MG?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Atletico-MG?

Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ceara vs Atletico-MG?

Ceara vs Atletico-MG (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.