Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 53% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓71% · @1.39
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Cruzeiro vs Goias preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro host Goias in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Bahia 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goias's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Fortaleza EC 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Goias 2–2 Cruzeiro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Cruzeiro and 0.7 for Goias. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruzeiro 71%, draw 18%, Goias 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.45.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.45 – 53% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 2–0 Goias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro71%fair 1.41 · @1.39
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.33
Goias11%fair 8.98 · @8.20
2.90Expected goals
2.17Cruzeiro xG
0.72Goias xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 2.2 – 0.7 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Goias?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Goias 11%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Goias?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Goias?
Cruzeiro vs Goias (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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