Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSao Paulo to win ✗41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Juventude vs Sao Paulo preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Juventude take on Sao Paulo on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.
Form guide
Juventude's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Criciuma 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sao Paulo's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with O'Higgins 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sao Paulo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Sao Paulo 1–0 Juventude.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Juventude and 1.3 for Sao Paulo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventude 35%, draw 24%, Sao Paulo 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Juventude to win at 3.60 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Juventude 1–1 Sao Paulo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventude35%fair 2.87 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Sao Paulo41%fair 2.45 · @2.08
2.48Expected goals
1.18Juventude xG
1.30Sao Paulo xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.2 – 1.3 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Juventude have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sao Paulo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Sao Paulo?
Juventude vs Sao Paulo (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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