Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✓63% · @1.39
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.49
Fluminense vs Operario-PR preview and prediction
The match
Fluminense host Operario-PR in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 13 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Operario-PR's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to CRB 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Operario-PR 0–0 Fluminense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Fluminense and 0.5 for Operario-PR. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fluminense 1–0 Operario-PR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense63%fair 1.58 · @1.39
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.30
Operario-PR16%fair 6.25 · @8.40
1.81Expected goals
1.35Fluminense xG
0.45Operario-PR xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.4 – 0.5 Operario-PR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Operario-PR?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Fluminense vs Operario-PR?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Operario-PR 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Operario-PR?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Operario-PR?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Operario-PR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Operario-PR?
Fluminense vs Operario-PR (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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