Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✗67% · @1.28
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu preview and prediction
The match
Paysandu travel to Estádio São Januário in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 13 May (23:00 WAT) to face Vasco DA Gama.
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Atletico Paranaense 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paysandu's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Águia de Marabá 5–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Paysandu 0–2 Vasco DA Gama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Vasco DA Gama and 0.9 for Paysandu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 67%, draw 19%, Paysandu 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.35.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.35 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Paysandu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasco DA Gama67%fair 1.50 · @1.28
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @5.00
Paysandu14%fair 6.95 · @11.00
2.99Expected goals
2.13Vasco DA Gama xG
0.86Paysandu xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 2.1 – 0.9 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paysandu 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu?
Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio São Januário.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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