Cruzeiro travel to Claro Arena in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday 7 May (03:00 WAT) to face U. Catolica. U. Catolica are 1st with 13 points from 6 games, while Cruzeiro sit 2nd on 11 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
U. Catolica's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Cruzeiro's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Atletico-MG 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Cruzeiro 1–2 U. Catolica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for U. Catolica and 1.4 for Cruzeiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: U. Catolica 35%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: U. Catolica 1–1 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U. Catolica35%fair 2.82 · @2.96
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Cruzeiro38%fair 2.62 · @2.38
2.68Expected goals
1.33U. Catolica xG
1.35Cruzeiro xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: U. Catolica 1.3 – 1.4 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers U. Catolica have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cruzeiro 38%.
How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is U. Catolica 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro?
U. Catolica vs Cruzeiro (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.