Thursday, 12 November 2026 26 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Independ. Rivadavia

WDWWW
1–1
FT

Fluminense

LDLDD

Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16

Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense preview and prediction

The match

The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Independ. Rivadavia take on Fluminense on Thursday 7 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas. Independ. Rivadavia are 1st with 16 points from 6 games, while Fluminense sit 2nd on 8 points.

Form guide

Independ. Rivadavia's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Deportivo La Guaira 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Fluminense's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Bolívar 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Independ. Rivadavia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 April 2026, finished Fluminense 1–2 Independ. Rivadavia.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Independ. Rivadavia and 1.2 for Fluminense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Independ. Rivadavia43%fair 2.31 · @2.32
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.05
Fluminense31%fair 3.26 · @3.20
2.43Expected goals
1.24Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.19Fluminense xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 – 1.2 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗43%2.312.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.16–

Form

Independ. Rivadavia – last 6

WDWWWW
30 Aprvs Deportivo La Guaira4–1W
20 Apr@ Banfield0–0D
16 Apr@ Fluminense2–1W
7 Aprvs Bolívar1–0W
2 Apr@ Tigre2–0W
23 Marvs Rosario Central2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fluminense – last 6

LDLDDW
30 Apr@ Bolívar0–2L
24 Apr@ Operario-PR0–0D
16 Aprvs Independ. Rivadavia1–2L
7 Apr@ Deportivo La Guaira0–0D
5 Apr@ Coritiba1–1D
2 Aprvs Corinthians3–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Apr 2026Fluminense v Independ. Rivadavia1–2
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia6510+916
2Fluminense622208
3Bolívar6123-25
4Deportivo La Guaira6033-73

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Santa Fe1 Corinthians1 132%2.92X29%3.00239%2.54 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓
FT Deportes Tolima3 Club Nacional0 142%2.12X26%3.20232%3.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT U. Catolica0 Cruzeiro0 135%2.96X26%3.20238%2.38 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✗
FT Mirassol2 LDU de Quito0 153%1.54X25%3.90222%6.20 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?

On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fluminense 31%.

How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?

Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense?

Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.