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Today's tips
CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Sporting Cristal

LLWLW
2–0
FT

Junior

WLDLW

Sporting Cristal vs Junior prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24

Sporting Cristal vs Junior preview and prediction

The match

The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Sporting Cristal take on Junior on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Sporting Cristal are 3rd with 6 points from 6 games, while Junior sit 4th on 4 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Sporting Cristal's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Atletico Grau 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Junior's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Llaneros 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Sporting Cristal and 1.0 for Junior. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 1–0 Junior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sporting Cristal46%fair 2.15 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Junior31%fair 3.20 · @2.82
2.21Expected goals
1.26Sporting Cristal xG
0.95Junior xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 1.3 – 1.0 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win ✓46%2.152.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.241.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.24–

Form

Sporting Cristal – last 6

LLWLWW
22 Apr@ Atletico Grau1–4L
16 Apr@ Palmeiras1–2L
9 Aprvs Cerro Porteno1–0W
3 Aprvs UCV Moquegua1–2L
15 Marvs Sport Boys3–0W
4 Mar@ Carabobo FC1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Junior – last 6

WLDLWL
20 Aprvs Llaneros2–0W
14 Apr@ Cerro Porteno0–1L
9 Aprvs Palmeiras1–1D
4 Aprvs Deportivo Cali1–2L
25 Marvs Bucaramanga2–0W
20 Mar@ Independiente Medellin0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and Junior.

Sporting Cristal vs Junior head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno6411+413
2Palmeiras6321+511
3Sporting Cristal6204-36
4Junior6114-64

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

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FT UCV0 Rosario Central3 116%5.40X19%3.65265%1.64 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Cruzeiro1 Boca Juniors0 136%2.35X26%2.92238%3.30 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Deportes Tolima3 Coquimbo Unido0 164%1.60X24%3.45212%6.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Mirassol2 Always Ready0 172%1.24X20%5.7027%11.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Junior 31%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 1–0 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sporting Cristal vs Junior?

Sporting Cristal vs Junior (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.