Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓64% · @1.60
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.98
Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido preview and prediction
The match
Coquimbo Unido travel to Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 29 April (03:00 WAT) to face Deportes Tolima. Deportes Tolima are 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Coquimbo Unido sit 1st on 10 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportes Tolima's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Millonarios 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Coquimbo Unido's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Universitario 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Coquimbo Unido arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Deportes Tolima and 0.5 for Coquimbo Unido. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Coquimbo Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Tolima64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.45
Coquimbo Unido12%fair 8.09 · @6.40
2.04Expected goals
1.54Deportes Tolima xG
0.50Coquimbo Unido xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.5 – 0.5 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
64%
1.57
1.60
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.98
–
Form
Deportes Tolima – last 6
LWLLDD
24 Apr
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Club Nacional
1–3
L
11 Apr
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Universitario
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Coquimbo Unido – last 5
WDWWL
15 Apr
@ Universitario
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Club Nacional
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Concepción
2–1
W
25 Mar
@ Huachipato
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ U. Catolica
1–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Coquimbo Unido.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Coquimbo Unido 12%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Coquimbo Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido?
Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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