Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Universitario or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Universitario to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitario to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.20
Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido preview and prediction
The match
Coquimbo Unido travel to Estadio Monumental in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 15 April (03:00 WAT) to face Universitario. Universitario are 4th with 6 points from 6 games, while Coquimbo Unido sit 1st on 10 points.
Form guide
Universitario's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Deportes Tolima 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Coquimbo Unido's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Club Nacional 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Universitario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.1 for Universitario and 0.4 for Coquimbo Unido. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Universitario to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universitario or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Universitario 1–0 Coquimbo Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universitario57%fair 1.75 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.10
Coquimbo Unido17%fair 6.04 · @4.50
1.57Expected goals
1.15Universitario xG
0.42Coquimbo Unido xG
43%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–021%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–16%
From our goals model: Universitario 1.1 – 0.4 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Universitario or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.48 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.20
–
Form
Universitario – last 5
DWWWW
8 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Coquimbo Unido – last 4
DWWL
8 Apr
vs Club Nacional
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Concepción
2–1
W
25 Mar
@ Huachipato
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ U. Catolica
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and Coquimbo Unido.
What is the prediction for Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our pick is Universitario or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido?
On our numbers Universitario have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Coquimbo Unido 17%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our predicted score is Universitario 1–0 Coquimbo Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido?
Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.