Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro host U. Catolica in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 15 April, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while U. Catolica sit 1st on 13 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
U. Catolica's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Cruzeiro and 0.6 for U. Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruzeiro 62%, draw 25%, U. Catolica 14%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–0 U. Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro62%fair 1.62 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.90
U. Catolica14%fair 7.32 · @7.10
2.28Expected goals
1.65Cruzeiro xG
0.63U. Catolica xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.6 – 0.6 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.92
–
Form
Cruzeiro – last 6
WWLDLD
8 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Vitoria
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–3
D
12 Mar
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
26 Feb
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
U. Catolica – last 6
LWWLDL
8 Apr
vs Boca Juniors
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Palestino
6–1
W
30 Mar
@ Cobresal
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Nublense
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Everton de Vina
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and U. Catolica.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and U. Catolica 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–0 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica?
Cruzeiro vs U. Catolica (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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