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Today's tips
CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Tigo La Huerta

Libertad Asuncion

DLLWL
0–1
FT

Rosario Central

DWLWD

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central prediction & analysis

80%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Libertad Asuncion to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultRosario Central to win ✓40% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.67

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central preview and prediction

The match

Libertad Asuncion host Rosario Central in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 15 April, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. Libertad Asuncion are 4th with 0 points from 6 games, while Rosario Central sit 2nd on 13 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Libertad Asuncion's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Rosario Central's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Independiente del Valle 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Rosario Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.2 for Rosario Central. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Rosario Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Libertad Asuncion34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Rosario Central40%fair 2.47 · @2.22
2.18Expected goals
1.03Libertad Asuncion xG
1.15Rosario Central xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.0 – 1.2 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central to win ✓40%2.472.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.531.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13%7.67–

Form

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

DLLWLL
13 Aprvs Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
9 Apr@ UCV1–3L
6 Apr@ Club Guarani0–1L
31 Marvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
28 Mar@ Sportivo Ameliano0–2L
22 Marvs Cerro Porteno2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rosario Central – last 6

DWLWDW
9 Aprvs Independiente del Valle0–0D
5 Aprvs Atletico Tucuman2–1W
23 Mar@ Independ. Rivadavia0–2L
15 Marvs Banfield2–1W
11 Mar@ Argentinos JRS0–0D
25 Feb@ Gimnasia L.P.2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Rosario Central.

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle6411+513
2Rosario Central6411+813
3UCV6303-49
4Libertad Asuncion6006-90

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FT LDU de Quito2 Mirassol0 164%1.76X22%3.70214%4.30 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.33 ✓
FT Universitario0 Coquimbo Unido2 157%1.90X26%3.10217%4.50 1XUniversitario or draw 83%@1.20 ✗
FT Cruzeiro1 U. Catolica2 162%1.48X25%3.90214%7.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rosario Central 40%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?

Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.