Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLanus to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceLanus or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.50
Lanus vs Always Ready preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Lanus take on Always Ready on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus. Lanus are 3rd with 9 points from 6 games, while Always Ready sit 4th on 3 points.
Form guide
Lanus's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Banfield 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Always Ready's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Aurora 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Lanus and 0.4 for Always Ready. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 55% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 55% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lanus 1–0 Always Ready. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lanus71%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @5.70
Always Ready10%fair 10.52 · @10.75
1.99Expected goals
1.62Lanus xG
0.37Always Ready xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lanus 1.6 – 0.4 Always Ready expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lanus to win✓
71%
1.42
1.25
Double chance
Lanus or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.48 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lanus / FT Lanus✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.50
–
Form
Lanus – last 6
WLDLWW
13 Apr
vs Banfield
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Mirassol
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Platense
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Argentinos JRS
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Newells Old Boys
5–0
W
14 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Always Ready – last 6
DLWWWW
12 Apr
@ Aurora
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Bolívar
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Aurora
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Aurora
2–1
W
18 Feb
vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lanus and Always Ready.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lanus vs Always Ready?
On our numbers Lanus have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Always Ready 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Always Ready?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lanus vs Always Ready?
Our predicted score is Lanus 1–0 Always Ready, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lanus vs Always Ready?
Lanus vs Always Ready (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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