Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians to win ✓64% · @1.40
Double chanceCorinthians or draw ✓82% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.64
Corinthians vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Corinthians host Santa Fe in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday 16 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Neo Química Arena. Corinthians are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Santa Fe sit 3rd on 8 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Corinthians's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Platense 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Santa Fe's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Penarol 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Corinthians and 0.6 for Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Corinthians 64%, draw 19%, Santa Fe 18%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Corinthians 1–0 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Corinthians64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
Santa Fe18%fair 5.69 · @9.00
2.18Expected goals
1.57Corinthians xG
0.61Santa Fe xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.6 – 0.6 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
Corinthians or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.64
–
Form
Corinthians – last 6
WLLDDD
10 Apr
@ Platense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Internacional
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Santos
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
DDLWWD
10 Apr
vs Penarol
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
2–2
D
2 Apr
vs Llaneros
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corinthians and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Santa Fe 18%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
Corinthians vs Santa Fe (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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