Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDanubio to win42% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.12
Wanderers vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
Danubio travel to face Wanderers in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 21 March (20:00 WAT). Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Danubio sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Wanderers's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Danubio's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Juventud 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Danubio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Wanderers and 1.3 for Danubio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wanderers34%fair 2.92 · @2.78
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Danubio42%fair 2.36 · @2.52
2.35Expected goals
1.09Wanderers xG
1.26Danubio xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.1 – 1.3 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Danubio to win
42%
2.36
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.26
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Danubio / FT Danubio
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.12
–
Form
Wanderers – last 4
LDWL
14 Mar
@ Club Nacional
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Deportivo Maldonado
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico Torque
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 4
WDLW
16 Mar
vs Juventud
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Penarol
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Racing Montevideo
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Boston River
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Danubio.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Wanderers vs Danubio?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Danubio 42%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Danubio?
Wanderers vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
