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Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Osvaldo Roberto

Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultRacing Montevideo to win41% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.22

Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction

The match

Liverpool Montevideo travel to Estadio Osvaldo Roberto in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 21 March (14:00 WAT) to face Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo are 6th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Racing Montevideo's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Cerro 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Atletico Torque 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Racing Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Racing Montevideo and 1.1 for Liverpool Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Racing Montevideo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Racing Montevideo41%fair 2.42 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Liverpool Montevideo34%fair 2.93 · @2.72
2.35Expected goals
1.25Racing Montevideo xG
1.10Liverpool Montevideo xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.2 – 1.1 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRacing Montevideo to win41%2.422.52
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.871.93
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.511.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.691.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.261.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.22–

Form

Racing Montevideo – last 5

WLWWD
8 Marvs Cerro1–0W
5 Mar@ Boston River0–1L
28 Feb@ Albion FC3–1W
21 Febvs Danubio4–0W
15 Feb@ Club Nacional1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Liverpool Montevideo – last 6

DWWDDL
17 Marvs Atletico Torque0–0D
10 Mar@ Boston River1–0W
1 Marvs Cerro Largo2–0W
25 Feb@ Independiente Medellin0–0D
20 Feb@ Cerro1–1D
18 Febvs Independiente Medellin1–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Racing Montevideo and Liverpool Montevideo.

Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?

On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liverpool Montevideo 34%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.