Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Montevideo to win41% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.22
Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Liverpool Montevideo travel to Estadio Osvaldo Roberto in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 21 March (14:00 WAT) to face Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo are 6th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Racing Montevideo's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Cerro 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Atletico Torque 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Racing Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Racing Montevideo and 1.1 for Liverpool Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Montevideo 41%, draw 24%, Liverpool Montevideo 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Racing Montevideo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Montevideo41%fair 2.42 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Liverpool Montevideo34%fair 2.93 · @2.72
2.35Expected goals
1.25Racing Montevideo xG
1.10Liverpool Montevideo xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.2 – 1.1 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win
41%
2.42
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.22
–
Form
Racing Montevideo – last 5
WLWWD
8 Mar
vs Cerro
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Boston River
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Danubio
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Nacional
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
DWWDDL
17 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Montevideo and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liverpool Montevideo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.