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Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Centenario
Sat 21 Mar 2026

Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 1.78 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultAtletico Torque to win62% · @1.78
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.09

Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol preview and prediction

The match

Central Espanol travel to Estadio Centenario in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 21 March (17:00 WAT) to face Atletico Torque. Atletico Torque are 2nd with 28 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Central Espanol sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Atletico Torque's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Central Espanol's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Cerro Largo 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Atletico Torque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.4.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Atletico Torque and 0.7 for Central Espanol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Torque 1–0 Central Espanol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Atletico Torque62%fair 1.62 · @1.78
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.35
Central Espanol18%fair 5.57 · @4.33
2.32Expected goals
1.62Atletico Torque xG
0.70Central Espanol xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.6 – 0.7 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win62%1.621.78 ▲
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.951.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.09–

Form

Atletico Torque – last 6

DWWWWD
17 Mar@ Liverpool Montevideo0–0D
9 Mar@ Cerro Largo1–0W
3 Marvs Defensor Sporting1–0W
27 Febvs Defensor Sporting1–0W
22 Feb@ Wanderers4–0W
17 Febvs Juventud2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Central Espanol – last 5

LDLWW
15 Marvs Cerro Largo1–3L
9 Mar@ Defensor Sporting0–0D
1 Marvs Wanderers0–1L
22 Feb@ Juventud1–0W
16 Febvs Penarol2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Central Espanol.

Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Central Espanol 18%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol?

Atletico Torque vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.