The UEFA Nations League sees Croatia take on Czech Republic on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Opus Arena. Croatia are 3rd with 3 points from 5 games, while Czech Republic sit 4th on 0 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Croatia's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to England 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Czech Republic's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Spain 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Croatia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.5 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 September 2026, finished Czechia 1–2 Croatia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.9 for Croatia and 1.2 for Czech Republic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pick: Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.87, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Croatia 1–1 Czech Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Croatia61%fair 1.63 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.93
Czech Republic18%fair 5.45 · @7.60
3.07Expected goals
1.87Croatia xG
1.20Czech Republic xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Croatia 1.9 – 1.2 Czech Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Croatia
Czech Republic
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-7%
-40%
Goals conceded vs average
+59%
+26%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.18
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Croatia vs Czech Republic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.87.
Who will win Croatia vs Czech Republic?
On our numbers Croatia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Czech Republic 18%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Czech Republic?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Czech Republic?
Our predicted score is Croatia 1–1 Czech Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Croatia vs Czech Republic?
Croatia vs Czech Republic (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Opus Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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