Türkiye travel to face France in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday 15 November (20:45 WAT). France are 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Türkiye sit 4th on 0 points.
Form guide
France's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Belgium 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Türkiye's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Italy 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
France arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 September 2026, finished Türkiye 0–1 France.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.4 for France and 0.7 for Türkiye. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: France 75%, draw 17%, Türkiye 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.82, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: France 2–0 Türkiye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
France75%fair 1.33 · @1.11
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @7.70
Türkiye7%fair 13.68 · @15.00
3.01Expected goals
2.35France xG
0.65Türkiye xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: France 2.4 – 0.7 Türkiye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
France
Türkiye
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
+16%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+52%
Our expected goals here
2.16
0.62
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.82.
Who will win France vs Türkiye?
On our numbers France have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Türkiye 7%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Türkiye?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Türkiye?
Our predicted score is France 2–0 Türkiye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is France vs Türkiye?
France vs Türkiye (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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