Belarus vs Albania prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Belarus 1.0 – 1.3 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Albania shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 37% for Belarus.
Belarus have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Albania have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.0 for Belarus, 1.3 for Albania). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Belarus have won 0, Albania have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 81% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Albania to win | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Albania / FT Albania | 25% | 3.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 13% | 7.44 | – |
Form
Belarus – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Finland | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs San Marino | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Finland | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Albania | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Jun | vs Burkina Faso | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Jun | vs Syria | 4–1 | W |
Albania – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs San Marino | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Finland | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ San Marino | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Belarus | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | vs Luxembourg | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Jun | vs Israel | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Sep 2026 | Albania v Belarus | 2–0 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | -15 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Belarus vs Albania?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance.
Who will win Belarus vs Albania?
On our numbers Belarus have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Albania 52%.
How many goals will there be in Belarus vs Albania?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Belarus vs Albania?
Belarus vs Albania (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.



