Spain host England in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday 15 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT). Spain are 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while England sit 2nd on 9 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spain's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Croatia 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
England's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Czechia 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 September 2026, finished England 2–3 Spain.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Spain and 1.8 for England. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spain 54%, draw 21%, England 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.56.
Prediction
Our pick: Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.56, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spain 1–1 England. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spain54%fair 1.84 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.56
England25%fair 4.02 · @5.36
3.69Expected goals
1.88Spain xG
1.81England xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Spain 1.9 – 1.8 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Spain
England
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
+48%
+72%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.51
2.12
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Spain vs England?
On our numbers Spain have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and England 25%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs England?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs England?
Our predicted score is Spain 1–1 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Spain vs England?
Spain vs England (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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