Value bet: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Gifu to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.11
FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
FC Gifu host Matsumoto Yamaga in the J2 League on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field.
Form guide
FC Gifu's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Consadole Sapporo 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Ventforet Kofu 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Matsumoto Yamaga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for FC Gifu and 1.3 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Gifu 40%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Matsumoto Yamaga to win at 2.95 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FC Gifu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Gifu40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.25
Matsumoto Yamaga36%fair 2.77 · @2.95
2.76Expected goals
1.42FC Gifu xG
1.34Matsumoto Yamaga xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: FC Gifu 1.4 – 1.3 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Gifu to win✗
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Gifu / FT FC Gifu✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.11
–
Form
FC Gifu – last 6
LWLWLL
2 May
vs Consadole Sapporo
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Iwaki
1–0
W
25 Apr
@ Jubilo Iwata
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Fukushima United
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Fujieda MYFC
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Omiya Ardija
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
LLLWWW
3 May
vs Ventforet Kofu
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
18 Apr
@ Consadole Sapporo
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Omiya Ardija
4–1
W
29 Mar
@ Fukushima United
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Parceiro Nagano
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Gifu and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers FC Gifu have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Matsumoto Yamaga 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is FC Gifu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.