Value bet: Vegalta Sendai to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi SC travel to Yurtec Stadium Sendai in the J2 League on Wednesday 6 May (06:00 WAT) to face Vegalta Sendai.
Form guide
Vegalta Sendai's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Blaublitz Akita 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tochigi SC's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Tochigi City 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Vegalta Sendai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Tochigi SC 1–2 Vegalta Sendai.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Vegalta Sendai and 0.9 for Tochigi SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Vegalta Sendai or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Vegalta Sendai to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Vegalta Sendai 2–0 Tochigi SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vegalta Sendai63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.60
Tochigi SC14%fair 7.35 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
2.09Vegalta Sendai xG
0.91Tochigi SC xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Vegalta Sendai 2.1 – 0.9 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?
On our numbers Vegalta Sendai have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tochigi SC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?
Our predicted score is Vegalta Sendai 2–0 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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