Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis preview and prediction
The match
Tokushima Vortis travel to Denka Big Swan Stadium in the J2 League on Wednesday 6 May (06:00 WAT) to face Albirex Niigata. Albirex Niigata are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Tokushima Vortis sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Albirex Niigata's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Kamatamare Sanuki 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tokushima Vortis's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Ehime FC 0–6 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tokushima Vortis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Tokushima Vortis 4–0 Albirex Niigata.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Albirex Niigata and 1.4 for Tokushima Vortis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albirex Niigata34%fair 2.95 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Tokushima Vortis44%fair 2.27 · @2.33
2.67Expected goals
1.23Albirex Niigata xG
1.45Tokushima Vortis xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.2 – 1.4 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tokushima Vortis 44%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Albirex Niigata vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.