Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✓38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.47
Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Kitakyushu take on Roasso Kumamoto on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Form guide
Kitakyushu's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Oita Trinita 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Biwako Shiga 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Roasso Kumamoto 4–1 Kitakyushu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Kitakyushu and 1.2 for Roasso Kumamoto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Kitakyushu 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kitakyushu38%fair 2.66 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Roasso Kumamoto38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
2.46Expected goals
1.22Kitakyushu xG
1.23Roasso Kumamoto xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.2 – 1.2 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Roasso Kumamoto 38%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tochigi City2
Yokohama FC2
Vegalta Sendai2
Tochigi SC1
Montedio Yamagata1
Thespakusatsu Gunma2
Ventforet Kofu1
Jubilo Iwata2
Omiya Ardija3
Iwaki2
Consadole Sapporo2
Parceiro Nagano0
Fujieda MYFC1
Fukushima United1
Albirex Niigata1
Tokushima Vortis0