Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 6 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultKagoshima United to win ✗57% · @1.85

Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✗79% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74

Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita preview and prediction

The match

Oita Trinita travel to Shiranami Stadium in the J2 League on Wednesday 6 May (06:00 WAT) to face Kagoshima United.

Form guide

Kagoshima United's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Oita Trinita's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Kitakyushu 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Kagoshima United and 0.8 for Oita Trinita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Kagoshima United 57%, draw 22%, Oita Trinita 21%.
Safer route: Kagoshima United or draw (79%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Kagoshima United 1–0 Oita Trinita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kagoshima United57%fair 1.75 · @1.85

Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20

Oita Trinita21%fair 4.76 · @4.00

2.35Expected goals

1.55Kagoshima United xG

0.80Oita Trinita xG

51%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%

1–112%

2–012%

0–010%

2–19%

0–18%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.6 – 0.8 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kagoshima United to win ✗	57%	1.75	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Kagoshima United or draw ✗	79%	1.27	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.20
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗	33%	2.99	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.74	–

Form

Kagoshima United – last 6

LLWWWW

25 Apr	@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0–1	L
18 Apr	@ Renofa Yamaguchi	1–2	L
12 Apr	vs Gainare Tottori	3–1	W
29 Mar	@ Roasso Kumamoto	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Biwako Shiga	1–0	W
28 Feb	@ Sagan Tosu	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Oita Trinita – last 6

LLWLWL

3 May	@ Kitakyushu	1–2	L
29 Apr	vs Roasso Kumamoto	0–1	L
19 Apr	@ Biwako Shiga	3–0	W
11 Apr	vs Renofa Yamaguchi	1–2	L
5 Apr	@ Sagan Tosu	1–0	W
29 Mar	@ Renofa Yamaguchi	1–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oita Trinita 21%.

How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita?

Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes