Value bet: FC Ryukyu to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKitakyushu to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.83
Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Kitakyushu take on FC Ryukyu on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Form guide
Kitakyushu's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Ryukyu's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Oita Trinita 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
FC Ryukyu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Kitakyushu and 1.3 for FC Ryukyu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kitakyushu 45%, draw 22%, FC Ryukyu 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: FC Ryukyu to win at 3.35 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Kitakyushu 1–1 FC Ryukyu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kitakyushu45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
FC Ryukyu33%fair 3.06 · @3.35
2.82Expected goals
1.55Kitakyushu xG
1.27FC Ryukyu xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.5 – 1.3 FC Ryukyu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kitakyushu to win✓
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kitakyushu / FT Kitakyushu✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
10.83
–
Form
Kitakyushu – last 6
WLLLLL
22 Mar
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Sagan Tosu
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ Oita Trinita
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Ryukyu – last 3
WLL
21 Mar
@ Oita Trinita
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and FC Ryukyu.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Ryukyu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 FC Ryukyu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?
Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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