Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United preview and prediction
The match
Roasso Kumamoto host Kagoshima United in the J2 League on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Form guide
Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Kagoshima United's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Biwako Shiga 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.2 for Kagoshima United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roasso Kumamoto 36%, draw 25%, Kagoshima United 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Kagoshima United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roasso Kumamoto36%fair 2.74 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Kagoshima United38%fair 2.61 · @2.60
2.40Expected goals
1.18Roasso Kumamoto xG
1.22Kagoshima United xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 1.2 – 1.2 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kagoshima United to win✓
38%
2.61
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.03
–
Form
Roasso Kumamoto – last 5
LLLWW
21 Mar
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Gainare Tottori
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Oita Trinita
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Kitakyushu
4–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Kagoshima United – last 4
WWWW
15 Mar
vs Biwako Shiga
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Sagan Tosu
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs FC Ryukyu
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Kagoshima United.
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kagoshima United 38%.
How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Kagoshima United (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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