Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Montedio Yamagata take on Tochigi City on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Montedio Yamagata are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Montedio Yamagata's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Vegalta Sendai 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tochigi City's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Tochigi SC 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.3 for Tochigi City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montedio Yamagata 40%, draw 26%, Tochigi City 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montedio Yamagata40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Tochigi City34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
2.78Expected goals
1.45Montedio Yamagata xG
1.32Tochigi City xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.5 – 1.3 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montedio Yamagata to win✗
40%
2.50
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.04
–
Form
Montedio Yamagata – last 5
LLLLW
22 Mar
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Blaublitz Akita
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sagamihara
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Tochigi SC
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 5
LWLLL
22 Mar
@ Tochigi SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Shonan Bellmare
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Yokohama FC
1–5
L
15 Feb
vs Blaublitz Akita
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montedio Yamagata and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tochigi City 34%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City?
Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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