Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
Fukushima United host Matsumoto Yamaga in the J2 League on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Toho.
Form guide
Fukushima United's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to FC Gifu 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Parceiro Nagano 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Matsumoto Yamaga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Fukushima United and 1.7 for Matsumoto Yamaga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fukushima United 35%, draw 21%, Matsumoto Yamaga 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Fukushima United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fukushima United35%fair 2.85 · @2.85
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Matsumoto Yamaga44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
3.25Expected goals
1.52Fukushima United xG
1.73Matsumoto Yamaga xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Fukushima United 1.5 – 1.7 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matsumoto Yamaga to win✓
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga✓
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Form
Fukushima United – last 4
LWLL
15 Mar
@ FC Gifu
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Parceiro Nagano
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Omiya Ardija
0–6
L
15 Feb
@ Iwaki
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 5
WWLWL
14 Mar
@ Parceiro Nagano
5–0
W
7 Mar
vs Consadole Sapporo
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Ventforet Kofu
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Jubilo Iwata
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fukushima United and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Fukushima United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Matsumoto Yamaga 44%.
How many goals will there be in Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Fukushima United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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