Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIwaki to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceIwaki or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.05
Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata preview and prediction
The match
Iwaki host Jubilo Iwata in the J2 League on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Iwaki Greenfield. Iwaki are 8th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Jubilo Iwata sit 9th on 23 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Iwaki's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Parceiro Nagano 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Jubilo Iwata's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Omiya Ardija 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Iwaki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Iwaki and 0.9 for Jubilo Iwata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Iwaki to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Iwaki or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Iwaki 1–0 Jubilo Iwata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iwaki58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.35
Jubilo Iwata20%fair 4.92 · @3.75
2.64Expected goals
1.74Iwaki xG
0.90Jubilo Iwata xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Iwaki 1.7 – 0.9 Jubilo Iwata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iwaki to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Iwaki or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iwaki / FT Iwaki✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.05
–
Form
Iwaki – last 4
WWLW
21 Mar
@ Parceiro Nagano
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Ventforet Kofu
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Fujieda MYFC
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Fukushima United
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Jubilo Iwata – last 4
LLLL
21 Mar
vs Omiya Ardija
1–4
L
14 Mar
vs Consadole Sapporo
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ FC Gifu
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iwaki and Jubilo Iwata.
Our pick is Iwaki or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?
On our numbers Iwaki have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jubilo Iwata 20%.
How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?
Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–0 Jubilo Iwata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata?
Iwaki vs Jubilo Iwata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Roasso Kumamoto0
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