Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 29 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✓45% · @2.38

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.41

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Renofa Yamaguchi take on Oita Trinita on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.

Form guide

Renofa Yamaguchi's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Kitakyushu 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Oita Trinita's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to FC Ryukyu 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.0 for Oita Trinita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Renofa Yamaguchi 45%, draw 25%, Oita Trinita 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Renofa Yamaguchi to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Oita Trinita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Renofa Yamaguchi45%fair 2.23 · @2.38

Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.70

Oita Trinita30%fair 3.33 · @3.20

2.24Expected goals

1.27Renofa Yamaguchi xG

0.97Oita Trinita xG

51%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%

1–113%

0–011%

0–110%

2–09%

2–18%

From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.3 – 1.0 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Renofa Yamaguchi to win ✓	45%	2.23	2.38 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.95	1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	1.18
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi ✓	25%	4.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	13%	7.41	–

Form

Renofa Yamaguchi – last 4

LWLW

22 Mar	vs Kitakyushu	0–1	L
7 Mar	vs Sagan Tosu	2–0	W
22 Feb	@ Kagoshima United	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Biwako Shiga	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

25%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Oita Trinita – last 6

LLLWWW

21 Mar	vs FC Ryukyu	2–3	L
14 Mar	@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Roasso Kumamoto	1–3	L
25 Feb	vs Biwako Shiga	2–0	W
22 Feb	vs Gainare Tottori	2–0	W
15 Feb	vs Kitakyushu	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita?

On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oita Trinita 30%.

How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita?

Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes