Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCroatia to win ✓67% · @1.39
Double chanceCroatia or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Croatia vs Slovenia preview and prediction
The match
Slovenia travel to Stadion Varteks in the Friendlies on Sunday 7 June (19:45 WAT) to face Croatia.
Form guide
Croatia's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Belgium 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Croatia and 0.8 for Slovenia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Croatia 67%, draw 19%, Slovenia 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Croatia 2–0 Slovenia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Croatia67%fair 1.50 · @1.39
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.45
Slovenia14%fair 6.99 · @8.10
2.72Expected goals
1.96Croatia xG
0.76Slovenia xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Croatia 2.0 – 0.8 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Croatia to win✓
67%
1.50
1.39
Double chance
Croatia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Croatia ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Croatia / FT Croatia✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Croatia – last 3
LLW
2 Jun
vs Belgium
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ Brazil
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Colombia
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Slovenia – last 2
DW
4 Jun
vs Cyprus
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Montenegro
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Croatia and Slovenia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Croatia vs Slovenia?
On our numbers Croatia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Slovenia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Slovenia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Slovenia?
Our predicted score is Croatia 2–0 Slovenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Croatia vs Slovenia?
Croatia vs Slovenia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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