Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win65% · @1.43
Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.19
Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas preview and prediction
The match
Independiente Medellin host Águilas Doradas in the Primera A on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Independiente Medellin are 6th with 29 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Águilas Doradas sit 10th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Independiente Medellin's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Cusco 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Águilas Doradas's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Fortaleza FC 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Independiente Medellin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Independiente Medellin and 0.7 for Águilas Doradas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 1–0 Águilas Doradas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Medellin65%fair 1.54 · @1.43
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.10
Águilas Doradas16%fair 6.36 · @7.75
2.59Expected goals
1.85Independiente Medellin xG
0.74Águilas Doradas xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.8 – 0.7 Águilas Doradas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win
65%
1.54
1.43
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.19
–
Form
Independiente Medellin – last 6
WWWLLD
1 May
vs Cusco
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Fortaleza FC
1–0
W
23 Apr
vs Chico
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Flamengo
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Atletico Nacional
2–3
L
9 Apr
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Águilas Doradas – last 6
LWLWDL
19 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
0–2
L
7 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
1–4
L
27 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Águilas Doradas.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Águilas Doradas 16%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–0 Águilas Doradas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas?
Independiente Medellin vs Águilas Doradas (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
