Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Tolima to win45% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.48
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Deportes Tolima take on Deportivo Cali on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Deportes Tolima are 9th with 26 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Cali sit 3rd on 34 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Deportes Tolima's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Coquimbo Unido 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Cali's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat America de Cali 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Deportes Tolima and 1.0 for Deportivo Cali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Deportivo Cali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Tolima45%fair 2.21 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Deportivo Cali32%fair 3.09 · @3.15
2.23Expected goals
1.25Deportes Tolima xG
0.99Deportivo Cali xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.2 – 1.0 Deportivo Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win
45%
2.21
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.48
–
Form
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WLWLLD
29 Apr
vs Coquimbo Unido
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Club Nacional
1–3
L
11 Apr
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Universitario
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cali – last 6
WLWWDL
26 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Chico
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Junior
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs Once Caldas
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Cali 32%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Deportivo Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
