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Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Sun 3 May 2026

Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMillonarios to win42% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.46

Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios preview and prediction

The match

Alianza Valledupar host Millonarios in the Primera A on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. Alianza Valledupar are 16th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Alianza Valledupar's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Llaneros 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Millonarios's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Sao Paulo 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Alianza Valledupar and 1.3 for Millonarios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Alianza Valledupar34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Millonarios42%fair 2.38 · @2.26
2.37Expected goals
1.10Alianza Valledupar xG
1.27Millonarios xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.1 – 1.3 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillonarios to win42%2.382.26
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.871.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.731.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.281.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millonarios / FT Millonarios23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%8.46–

Form

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

DLWDLW
27 Apr@ Llaneros0–0D
13 Apr@ Internacional de Bogota1–2L
6 Apr@ Deportivo Pereira3–2W
1 Aprvs Deportivo Pasto0–0D
27 Mar@ Águilas Doradas0–1L
19 Marvs Jaguares1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Millonarios – last 6

DWLWLL
29 Aprvs Sao Paulo0–0D
24 Aprvs Deportes Tolima2–0W
20 Apr@ America de Cali1–3L
16 Aprvs Boston River1–0W
8 Apr@ O'Higgins0–2L
3 Apr@ Jaguares0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alianza Valledupar and Millonarios.

Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?

On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Millonarios 42%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?

Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?

Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.