Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBucaramanga to win41% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.56
Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga preview and prediction
The match
Fortaleza FC host Bucaramanga in the Primera A on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Cota. Fortaleza FC are 20th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Bucaramanga sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fortaleza FC's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Independiente Medellin 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bucaramanga's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Nacional 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Fortaleza FC and 1.3 for Bucaramanga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortaleza FC 34%, draw 25%, Bucaramanga 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fortaleza FC 1–1 Bucaramanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza FC34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Bucaramanga41%fair 2.44 · @2.42
2.37Expected goals
1.12Fortaleza FC xG
1.25Bucaramanga xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Fortaleza FC 1.1 – 1.3 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win
41%
2.44
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.56
–
Form
Fortaleza FC – last 6
LLWDDL
26 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Águilas Doradas
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Millonarios
2–2
D
25 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bucaramanga – last 6
LWLLLL
21 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Chico
5–0
W
7 Apr
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ America de Cali
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Santa Fe
1–2
L
25 Mar
@ Junior
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza FC and Bucaramanga.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers Fortaleza FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bucaramanga 41%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza FC 1–1 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Cota.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
