Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy travel to Ajinomoto Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 10 May (07:00 WAT) to face FC Tokyo. FC Tokyo are 2nd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Tokyo's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to JEF United Chiba 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for FC Tokyo and 0.8 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tokyo 60%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 16%.
Safer route: FC Tokyo or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Tokyo or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 1–0 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tokyo60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Tokyo Verdy16%fair 6.22 · @4.40
2.55Expected goals
1.76FC Tokyo xG
0.80Tokyo Verdy xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.8 – 0.8 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
60%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Form
FC Tokyo – last 6
LWWWWW
6 May
vs JEF United Chiba
0–3
L
2 May
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–1
W
24 Apr
vs Mito Hollyhock
5–2
W
11 Apr
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
LWWWLL
6 May
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–1
L
3 May
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Kashima
2–1
W
18 Apr
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ JEF United Chiba
2–3
L
18 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokyo Verdy 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–0 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?
FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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