Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Kashima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
Yokohama F. Marinos host Kashima in the J1 League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Nissan Stadium. Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Machida Zelvia 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Kashima's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Mito Hollyhock 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Kashima 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.8 for Kashima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yokohama F. Marinos 20%, draw 22%, Kashima 58%.
Safer route: Kashima or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yokohama F. Marinos20%fair 4.95 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.45
Kashima58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
2.73Expected goals
0.94Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.79Kashima xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 0.9 – 1.8 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kashima 58%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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