Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos preview and prediction
The match
Kashiwa Reysol host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol are 8th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Yokohama F. Marinos sit 7th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Mito Hollyhock 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Kawasaki Frontale 5–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Yokohama F. Marinos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.8 for Yokohama F. Marinos. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Kashiwa Reysol to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Yokohama F. Marinos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashiwa Reysol66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.85
Yokohama F. Marinos13%fair 7.69 · @4.80
2.92Expected goals
2.09Kashiwa Reysol xG
0.83Yokohama F. Marinos xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.1 – 0.8 Yokohama F. Marinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
WLLWLL
22 Mar
vs Mito Hollyhock
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs Machida Zelvia
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Kashima
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6
WLWLWL
22 Mar
@ Kawasaki Frontale
5–0
W
18 Mar
@ Mito Hollyhock
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ FC Tokyo
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Urawa
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F. Marinos.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yokohama F. Marinos 13%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Yokohama F. Marinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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