Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗64% · @1.50
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Avispa Fukuoka sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Vissel Kobe 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to V-varen Nagasaki 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.8 for Avispa Fukuoka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.90
Avispa Fukuoka14%fair 7.26 · @7.00
2.85Expected goals
2.02Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.83Avispa Fukuoka xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0 – 0.8 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
LLLWWL
27 Mar
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 5
LLLLL
15 Mar
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–5
L
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avispa Fukuoka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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