Value bet: Fagiano Okayama to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe preview and prediction
The match
Vissel Kobe travel to City Light Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 5 April (06:00 WAT) to face Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Vissel Kobe sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to V-varen Nagasaki 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vissel Kobe's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Shimizu S-pulse 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vissel Kobe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.4 for Vissel Kobe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Fagiano Okayama to win at 3.85 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Vissel Kobe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama30%fair 3.37 · @3.85
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Vissel Kobe48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
2.49Expected goals
1.05Fagiano Okayama xG
1.44Vissel Kobe xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.0 – 1.4 Vissel Kobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vissel Kobe to win✓
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe✓
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 5
LWWLD
21 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe – last 6
WWWWWW
1 Apr
vs Shimizu S-pulse
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–0
W
11 Mar
vs FC Seoul
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ FC Seoul
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Vissel Kobe.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vissel Kobe 48%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Vissel Kobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?
Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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