FC Tokyo travel to K's Denki Stadium Mito in the J1 League on Saturday 14 March (06:00 WAT) to face Mito Hollyhock. Mito Hollyhock are 9th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while FC Tokyo sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Tokyo's last 4: WLWD Most recently they beat Yokohama F. Marinos 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.9 for FC Tokyo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mito Hollyhock 30%, draw 22%, FC Tokyo 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 FC Tokyo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mito Hollyhock30%fair 3.30 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
FC Tokyo47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
3.30Expected goals
1.45Mito Hollyhock xG
1.85FC Tokyo xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.4 – 1.9 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✗
47%
2.11
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.91
–
Form
Mito Hollyhock – last 2
LD
7 Mar
@ Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 4
WLWD
7 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Tokyo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo?
Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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