Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction
The match
Shimizu S-pulse host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Fagiano Okayama sit 6th on 26 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Kyoto Sanga 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.1 for Fagiano Okayama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Fagiano Okayama35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
2.40Expected goals
1.29Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.11Fagiano Okayama xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.3 – 1.1 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win✗
43%
2.32
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 3
WLD
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fagiano Okayama 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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