Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
2
Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 3.75 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.18
Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia preview and prediction
The match
Kashiwa Reysol host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol are 8th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Machida Zelvia sit 3rd on 37 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to JEF United Chiba 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Gangwon FC 1–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.9 for Machida Zelvia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Machida Zelvia to win at 3.75 – 35% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Machida Zelvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashiwa Reysol41%fair 2.46 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Machida Zelvia35%fair 2.86 · @3.75
4.00Expected goals
2.07Kashiwa Reysol xG
1.93Machida Zelvia xG
60%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.1 – 1.9 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✗
41%
2.46
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.18
–
Form
Kashiwa Reysol – last 4
LWLL
7 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Kashima
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 5
WDWWD
10 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Chengdu Better City
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Machida Zelvia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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